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If you’ve followed my work this year you know

    • 11 posts
    November 21, 2018 8:47 PM EST

     I’m a huge stats nerd. One I kept coming back to as I wrote last week’s GIF Horse was that Denver had earned an “estimated” 4.9 wins by Football Outsiders DVOA metric. That’s better than team’s like the Patriots ;, Steelers, and Washington. It’s also better than yesterday’s opponent, the Houston Texans. Even with all their warts, this year’s Broncos team has looked like it was a serious contender in every contest outside of New York. They boast an elite running game and pass rush that buoys an average passer and woeful secondary. They’re flawed for sure, but the fact that they enter their bye week with 6 losses is a bit of a surprise. A schedule with 3 games against legitimate Super Bowl contenders didn’t help, but losses to the Jets, Ravens and Texans fall squarely at the feet of the man making the calls.Throughout the season there has been questionable usage of personnel such as passing far too much when the run game is working or a jet sweet on 3rd and 2. Dead horses, and both fall at the offensive coordinator’s feet first and foremost. But in the most recent contest the decisions at the end of each half can’t be ignored. Clock management is where the best coaches separate themselves from the field and when the average Madden player knows Vance blew it, he blew it.By kicking a 62-yard field goal with time on the clock, Vance Joseph was gambling. There’s little in the way of statistical evidence to back up his decision without admitting as much. Perhaps he still had McManus’ 2017 practice kicks in mind?PK Brandon McManus is ‘true weapon’ for Broncos, drills 73-yard field goal in practice - CBSSports.comThat’s about all Joseph could say that would justify the call, as McManus’ career make when the kick counts for something is a mere 57 yarder Womens Royce Freeman Jersey , made in 2015. If that was the only mistake Joseph made with special teams yesterday, the Broncos probably pull out the victory on a game winning redemption make. Instead Vance played it safe on the Broncos final drive of the game and settled for a 51 yard attempt to push his team past a Texans team that had scored all of 3 points in the second half.For his career Brandon McManus was 13-24 on 50+ yard kicks entering Sunday. He’s made 72.4% from 40-49 and 94.5% from anything closer. Perhaps Joseph could have had Case Keenum attempt a pass with time on the clock and a timeout to burn rather than run Phillip Lindsay up the middle for a 1 yard gain? Or perhaps he could have used his brain instead of putting the team he coaches in that situation to begin with. Maybe he’ll figure it out at his next job. I’m still hesitant to say that Elway will part ways with the head coach he picked over Kyle Shanahan at the bye. It would create a perception issue for the Denver opening over the rest of the season, but there is little doubt Joseph is coaching on borrowed time now. One name to keep an eye on at the year progresses? John Harbaugh. Reports started surfacing that he was on the hot seat going into the Pittsburgh game. Joe Flacco didn’t do him any favors and the Ravens now look like a longshot to make the dance. There’s already a Kubiak connection working in the Broncos favor here...Ravens coach John Harbaugh on hot seat in Baltimore - NFL.comJohn Harbaugh: I don’t ever worry about keeping a job – ProFootballTalkOn to the linksDenver Broncos: 4 winners, 1 loser in 19-17 loss to Texans - Mile High ReportCase Keenum had a great game but it was all for nothing.Cover 4: Broncos fall short in 19-17 loss to TexansI did not expect Heuerman to get 10 catches but Houston did go into the Broncos game with a huge weakness to tight ends. Something to keep in mind before you dump Le’Veon Bell for Denver’s tight end in fantasy football. I would still expect Courtland Sutton to take up the biggest slack with the Thomas trade. Denver Broncos: 5 things learned from 19-17 defeat to Houston Texans. - Mile High ReportNFL Week 9 Analysis: Saints-Rams, Steelers-Ravens | SI.comBroncos, 19-17 | 9news.comAfter the first quarter I expected the story to be D.T.’s performance as he was schooling Brock early and often. Then he disappeared until he started making mistakes near the end of the game, so this was a pretty interesting piece by Klis.ESPNA look around the WestGame Recap: Chargers squeak out another too-close-for-comfort win in Seattle 25-17 - Bolts From The BlueThe Broncos were lucky to play Seattle early in the year before Vance really solidified his “Football 101.” Will the Raiders win any of their remaining eight games this season? | NBCS Bay AreaProbably not.Kareem Hunt leads Kansas City Chiefs to 37-21 victory over the Browns - Arrowhead PrideHunt ripped off 141 scrimmage yards in the victory.Watch Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes’ three passing touchdowns here - Arrowhead PrideMahomes is on pace to become the 10th QB to pass for 5,000 yards. He’s also getting closer to Peyton Manning’s single season touchdown record.A look around the rest of the league.Injuries we’re tracking from Sunday’s Week 9 games - NFL.comBucs-Panthers: The predictability of Tampa Bay’s 42-28 loss at CarolinaSam Darnold: There’s no excuse for how I played – ProFootballTalkNathan Peterman: I don’t feel snakebit – ProFootballTalkSteelers unsure when -- or if -- Le’Veon Bell will report - NFL.comPittsburgh Steelers return to basics, bully Baltimore Ravens - NFL.comThe Rams officially have a Marcus Peters problem | Touchdown WireHorse Tracks: Brandon McManus is the NFL’s highest-ranked kicker according to Pro Football Focus Good morning, Broncos Country.When it comes to Pro Football Focus and their ranking system — sometimes we love them, sometimes we don’t. However, we chalk up today’s morning news regarding kicker Brandon McManus in the “We love it!” category.According to Pro Football Focus Youth Emmanuel Sanders Jersey , McManus is the highest-ranked kicker in the league through three games this season with an overall grade of 80.8. I’m not exactly certain how they calculate grades for kickers, but by my calculations — he gets a perfect 100 — because he hasn’t missed anything thus far! To date, McManus is a perfect 4/4 on field goals with a long of 53, including a 36-yard game-winning kick against the Oakland Raiders. He has also been a perfect 7/7 on extra points.After all, his knack for big-time kicks and coming through in the clutch was the reason why Broncos Country gave him the nickname McMoney several years ago.McManus signed a three-year extension making him the league’s fourth-highest paid kicker last September, but struggled mightily during the 2017 season. He converted on just 75 percent of his field goal attempts. It was an extreme drop-off in efficiency and ten percentage points lower than his 2016 and 2015 campaigns. With that in mind, it is certainly nice to see him (as well as the rest of the special teams unit) rebounding early on this season.Let’s hope that McManus’ precision continues in this week’s battle for the AFC West lead against the Kansas City Chiefs, as well as throughout the rest of the season.As always, thank you for reading and here is today’s offering of Horse Tracks.Horse TracksBroncos Injury Report: Tramaine Brock misses Friday's practiceDymonte Thomas, Adam Jones, Brandon Marshall and Shelby Harris were limited in participation.Broncos linebacker Von Miller among those who have caught Rocktober fever“I’m pretty excited about it," Miller said. "If we get the Rockies in (the playoffs) Womens Garett Bolles Jersey , it’d be great."Broncos pleased with Bradley Chubb's edge rush, developing coverage skillsChubb has played more snaps in his first 3 rookie games than did Myles Garrett, Joey Bosa and Jadaveon Clowney.Broncos Briefs: Best way to contain Chiefs offense? Keep the footballThe Denver Post's Ryan O'Halloran looks at strategy and the Broncos' game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football.Denver columnist calls Chiefs “soft” before game vs. BroncosAhead of the KC Chiefs’ “Monday Night Football” game against the Broncos, a Denver Post columnist called the Chiefs soft and suggested the Denver defense get after Patrick Mahomes.Hail to the Chief: Patrick Mahomes is making all the moves all at once — The UndefeatedFormer Denver Broncos cornerback Domonique Foxworth takes a look at the quick rise of Patrick Mahomes.Kyle Shanahan was the ball boy when Anthony Lynn played for BroncosKyle Shanahan said Anthony Lynn "is someone I've been close to my whole life." On Sunday, they'll test each other from opposite sidelines.Todd Gurley: L.A. Rams 'can't be beat right now' - NFL.comRunning back Todd Gurley was feeling pretty confident Thursday night after totaling 156 total yards from scrimmage in the Rams' 38-31 victory over the Minnesota Vikings.Antonio Brown's slow start; plan for Josh Rosen; Mack for MVP? - NFL.comWhy is four-time All-Pro Antonio Brown off to a quiet start this season? And should Bears dynamo Khalil Mack be considered the MVP front-runner? Bucky Brooks tackles those topics and more.Mike Zimmer: 'Never been this poor in pass coverage' - NFL.comThe Vikings gave up 556 yards of total offense Thursday, including Jared Goff's otherworldly 465-yard, five-touchdown performance. Not surprisingly, Vikings coach Mike Zimmer was not pleased.Jared Goff and Sean McVay quickly becoming one of the NFL’s great pairs | Pro Football WeeklyQB, head coach appear perfectly in sync as Rams move to 4-0 with Thursday shootout over Vikings.


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